The Competent Investor

· Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen: 2026 Could Spark a Global Market & Metals Reset

Chris Vermeulen, founder and chief market strategist of TheTechnicalTraders.com, shares his insights on the current market conditions and future outlook with host Tom Bodrovics. Vermeulen highlighted several warning signs in the market, including record highs in gold, silver, home prices, copper, platinum, money market funds, US debt, deficit spending, and household debt. He emphasizes that the surge in precious metals indicates a lack of trust in the economy and financial systems, suggesting an impending correction or crisis. Vermeulen discusses the historical context of precious metal rallies, noting that similar patterns occurred before major financial events like the 2007 financial crisis and the tech bubble. He also points out the current AI bubble and the influx of venture capital into AI investments, comparing it to past bubbles that eventually burst.

The discussion also touched on the record number of trillion-dollar IPOs, such as SpaceX and OpenAI, which Vermeulen sees as a warning sign of a market peak. Vermeulen’s trading strategy focuses on technical analysis.He avoids trying to pick bottoms or tops and instead looks for confirmed uptrends to enter positions. He also uses Fibonacci retracement levels to manage risk and identify potential pullbacks in precious metals.

Vermeulen expects significant corrections in gold and silver, with gold potentially pulling back to $3,100-$3,600 and silver to $70-$60 before resuming their uptrends. The conversation also covered the impact of news-driven events on the market, with Vermeulen advising against trading based on news alone. He prefers to follow the charts, which reflect the collective psychology and actions of market participants.

Chris also discusses the potential for a massive reset in oil prices, predicting a move down to the $45 per barrel range due to a glut of supply and decreasing demand. Vermeulen expresses concern about the potential for a significant financial reset in the near future, citing various warning signs and historical cycles. He advises listeners to have a game plan and be prepared for potential market downturns, as the current environment could be particularly challenging for those close to or in retirement. Despite his bearish outlook, Vermelez is still long equities and precious metals, expecting short-term upside before a potential correction.